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Ages 11 to 13 · ages 11+
Risk and Probability · Grades 6 to 10
An 8-week run through how to think clearly about chance and decide well under uncertainty: probability as a number, counting outcomes, expected value and the risk of ruin, base rates and Bayesian updating, and Monte Carlo simulation, each operated as a real model.
8 weeks 16 lessons 1 to 2× / week · 30 to 45 min
Standards alignment
- NEP 2020: experiential and inquiry-based learning; critical thinking
- CBSE: Mathematics (probability and data handling) for middle and secondary grades
Standard workshopPrice on request Paid course
Think in probabilities: chance, expected value, and Bayes without the fog.
Request access What you’ll cover (8 weeks)
- 1Chance as a number
- 2Combining events, then a check
- 3Expected value and spread
- 4Risk of ruin, then a check
- 5Base rates and Bayes
- 6The false-positive trap, then a check
- 7Simulating uncertainty
- 8Risk in the world and the boss
The full week-by-week plan and every lesson in this course unlock with enrollment.